Bank of America 2026 Financial Services Conference: BLK CFO Martin Small on Growth Strategy, Digital Assets, M&A, and Industry Trends
Key Takeaways
TL;DR: BLK posted record 2025 organic base fee growth (+9% FY, +12% Q4), well above expectations, driven by breadth across ETFs, private markets, and tech. Management sees sustainable 6–7% organic base fee growth, w/ industry consolidation and new distribution channels (notably digital wallets, tokenized products) as key LT growth drivers. 2026 priorities: integrate recent large M&A (GIP, HPS, Preqin), expand private markets/wealth, scale tech (Aladdin), and pursue further margin expansion (targeting >45% OP margin, >50% FRE margin). BLK bullish on tokenized ETFs and digital wallet-native AM, w/ regulatory engagement accelerating. M&A focus: integration and selective capability expansion; no need for large deals to hit growth targets.
1. 2025 Organic Growth & Biz Mix
- Record Organic Base Fee Growth:
- 2025 organic base fee growth +9% (vs. 5%+ tgt), Q4 +12%, every Q >6%.
- "Six consecutive Qs north of our 5-plus % tgt... 9% for the year, 10% in Q3, 12% in Q4."
- Sustainability:
- Management sees 6–7% organic base fee growth as sustainable, excluding large enterprise wins.
- Growth broad-based: ETFs (active/trad.), digital assets, private markets, systematic equity.
- Industry Consolidation:
- Top 5 AMs now capture ~80% of industry flows, but asset/revenue fragmentation remains high.
- BLK sees opportunity to consolidate share/revenue as clients seek fewer, larger providers.
2. Strategic Priorities for 2026
- Integration of Major M&A:
- GIP: Infra leader.
- HPS: private/alternative credit.
- Preqin: Alternative data for private markets.
- Synergy realization, scaling public/private integrated portfolios = top priorities.
- Private markets & Alts:
- $676B AUM in private markets; top 5 player.
- Focus: organic growth in private markets to insurance, wealth, active ETFs, digital assets.
- Targeting $400–500M revenue businesses in these segments.
- Fundraising:
- $400B growth fundraising target by 2030; on track via institutional, wealth, insurance channels.
- iShares/ETF Growth:
- $530B organic asset growth in iShares in 2025; #1 globally.
- Double-digit organic growth continues, w/ new use cases (FI, active, non-linear/option-based ETFs).
- Significant opportunity in Europe as ETF adoption accelerates.
- Tech & Data (Aladdin):
- Aladdin finished 2025 at +16% ACV growth; target mid-teens through-cycle.
- Key to 2030 goals: $36B revenue, double OP.
- Wealth Channel Expansion:
- Movement from brokerage to advisory, expansion of independent RIAs, model portfolios.
- Integration of private markets into wealth/retail portfolios.
- Largest wholesaling teams in US/EU; focus on delivering institutional-grade OCIO service to wealth managers.
3. Digital Assets, Tokenization & New Distribution Channels
- Digital Wallets as Distribution Channel:
- 820M crypto wallets, $2.5T in crypto value, 4.5B digital wallets globally.
- BLK aims to build digital wallet-native AM (model portfolios, proposals, trading, tax, etc.).
- Tokenized iShares seen as "best spear tip" for entering digital wallet ecosystem.
- Regulatory Engagement:
- SEC highly engaged/supportive of innovation in tokenized ETFs.
- "More progress in last 3mo than last 5yrs in this space."
- Tokenized investment products in digital wallets expected to be major LT growth driver.
- Rationale for Tokenization:
- Primary driver: access to new, rapidly growing ecosystem (not just lower costs/24x7 trading).
- BLK sees opportunity to bridge trading and digital capital markets, bringing new investors into LT products.